By: Zenna
02 May 2004, 08:02 AM EDT
Msg. 150515 of 151012
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.39 P&F target on ADVR.....its been VERY accurate on stocks that I own and track...FWIW..

Me thinks this board may actually exhale soon..

Z
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By: lovingitall0
02 May 2004, 08:36 AM EDT
Msg. 150516 of 151012
(This msg. is a reply to 150515 by Zenna.)
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Zenna: Sounds good! Any chance of a link to that charting co? Looks like one I'd be interested exploring.

Thanks.

Luv
By: Zenna
02 May 2004, 09:17 AM EDT
Msg. 150517 of 151012
(This msg. is a reply to 150516 by lovingitall0.)
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Luv,

Not good at cut and paste...but if you go to Stockcharts.c and punch in ADVR, then

1) hit P&F at the bottom of the page

2) then rearrange the settings,

a)Scaling Method.. set to Percentage

b) Indicators directly below should read:

reversal: 3 scale factor: 1 Dec: 3


Push UPDate...

TOp of page should read .39 Target




(Voluntary Disclosure: Position- Long)


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By: Zenna
02 May 2004, 09:23 AM EDT
Msg. 150518 of 151012
(This msg. is a reply to 150517 by Zenna.)
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Luv, I think we can pretty much count on closing the gap @ .12.....I suspect we blow up from there....ASCO abstracts are around the corner..I think we'll see something closer the the end of the month...(can't define "blow up" right now) :)

Regards,

Z
By: anna_mny
02 May 2004, 09:25 AM EDT
Msg. 150519 of 151012
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Zenna, what do you expect Advanced Viral to do based on ASCO and the charts.

Cheers
anna
By: Zenna
02 May 2004, 09:30 AM EDT
Msg. 150520 of 151012
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Hitting .39 P&F target blows through most of the resistance levels except for a minor one at .55 ....IMO (more or less)
and as I recall its pretty ancient anyhow.

Lets hit it!

Z
By: anna_mny
02 May 2004, 09:52 AM EDT
Msg. 150521 of 151012
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Thanks Zenna, But I dont think the company will just go past .39 on its own. How do you correlate ASCO and any news
to these resistance levels ?
anna
By: lovingitall0
02 May 2004, 10:07 AM EDT
Msg. 150523 of 151012
(This msg. is a reply to 150517 by Zenna.)
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Thanks, Zenna! Really neat. I appreciated the instructions, they were perfect and I really needed them!

You're cool!

Luv
By: lovingitall0
02 May 2004, 10:29 AM EDT
Msg. 150530 of 151012
(This msg. is a reply to 150518 by Zenna.)
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Zenna, yes, others also feel that closing the gap @ .12 seems to be about it. We'll soon find out.

I also feel the ASCO abstract presentation by AVR118 is a real plus for ADVR and should be very interesting.
I'm looking forward to hearing something good on this as well.

The ASCO December 2003 "Meet the Experts"/The Virus-Cancer Link: Examining the Role of Viruses in the Development of Cancer, was really excellent reading. I tried to get link on in my post 149609, but it wouldn't appear.

They always have excellent representation there:

"The ASCO Annual Meeting is the premiere educational event in the clinical oncology community. The meeting is targeted to U.S. and international physicians, academicians, and clinical researchers, as well as oncology fellows, nurses, social workers, physician assistants, and other healthcare professionals involved in multidisciplinary clinical cancer care. The 2003 Meeting in Chicago attracted 26,400 attendees from all over the world."

Luv






By: Ourobouros
02 May 2004, 01:37 PM EDT
Msg. 150577 of 151013
(This msg. is a reply to 150511 by SUE32073.)
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The reason I ask all here who might have an understanding of the shareholder numbers issue is that a certain person told me one of the reasons they "cannot" hold a shareholder meeting is that there are more than 30,000 stockholders - meaning the costs would be too high. I think this is off by close to a factor of 10.

Does ANYONE know how many total shareholders there are who are invested in ADVR currently??

Thanks to anyone who can supply this information!
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By: kevtod
02 May 2004, 02:06 PM EDT
Msg. 150578 of 150999
(This msg. is a reply to 150577 by Ourobouros.)
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Bernie- STOCKHOLDERS

The approximate number of holders of record of our common stock as of March 29, 2004 is 3,401, inclusive of those brokerage firms and/or clearing houses holding shares of common stock for their clientele (with each such brokerage house and/or clearing house being considered as one holder).

Source: Form 10K - ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For The Fiscal Year Ended DECEMBER 31, 2003.

http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/786623/000095014404003303/g88108e10vk.txt

*******************************************************
-kevtod



By: rarboston
02 May 2004, 02:08 PM EDT
Msg. 150579 of 150999
(This msg. is a reply to 150577 by Ourobouros.)
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Bernie -- Im readonably certain that in a recent SEC filing, they clainmed to have 3300 +/- shareholders.

The number seems low to me, but more than once I recall coming acros that number.

By: Ourobouros
02 May 2004, 03:20 PM EDT
Msg. 150587 of 151013
(This msg. is a reply to 150578 by kevtod.)
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For that person who told me there were 30,000 SH, I show you ADVR's OWN filing and the figure you gave me as to why ADVR cannot have a SH meeting, I say to you that you are FOS!!
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By: yanks04
02 May 2004, 03:30 PM EDT
Msg. 150588 of 151013
(This msg. is a reply to 150587 by Ourobouros.)
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Was that Bill Bregman or firehirschman? I was told by a poster that Bill Bregman assured him advr had more than 27,000 shareholders. BS.

By: Zenna
02 May 2004, 03:55 PM EDT
Msg. 150591 of 151013
(This msg. is a reply to 150522 by SUE32073.)
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Hey, Sue...thanks for the chuckle.

Not sure I can answer all that...just hiked 9 miles (1600ft elev.) I'll try..

The chart that I mentioned is a Point a Figure chart...very old charting method...I've never learned that particular type of charting so I rely on stockcharts for their analysis...its completely unbiased based on historical supply and demand...IMO I have to say that I've found it very accurate....I've tracked a lot of penny stocks and my experience is that it works on them as well as higher $ stocks...

Remember though, it doesn't give a TIMEframe for that price projection...its simply a "snapshot" based on where the stocks trading @ that particular time....it could take months or longer for the price to become realized...it could become REVERsed if the stock heads south in a particular fashion...I check it frequently if I'm interested/invested in a stock...however, I rely on the charting methods that I've studied heavily and use P&F
just to confirm and for fun..

I noticed the move in price target mainly because it must have just turned in the last couple days or so and the new target assigned..

One thing for sure, pennies are easily manipulated...but I've been pretty successful at weeding through the garbage and keeping my eye on the chart...couple that with fundamental expectations and you often can see breakouts in the making....

The thing that is still out there is ASCO and the early release of the abstracts...the .39 price target may in fact come true.... sooner rather than later..

Trying to be thorough and concise...hope I pulled it off...

Regards,

Z

PS..there is a site that gives something of a "smart chart" price projection and their analysis...I think its stockTA.c or something like that...there are lots of sites that break down their projections in % terms... If I come across them, I'll post it you.



(Voluntary Disclosure: Position- Long)


By: Zenna
02 May 2004, 04:04 PM EDT
Msg. 150595 of 151024
(This msg. is a reply to 150523 by lovingitall0.)
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Luv,

That's an excellent site, if you go through it there's various charting methods with explanations that are pretty good...the adjustment I gave you seems to work well on smaller stocks and I use a slightly different setting on the larger $ stocks...

Another RB member turned me on to the setting for penny stocks...another stock I have HQNT nailed the price projection when it moved from .67ish to 2.80.....

Have a great weekend, glad you enjoyed the site.

Z

(Voluntary Disclosure: Position- Long)

By: Ourobouros
02 May 2004, 04:29 PM EDT
Msg. 150620 of 151036
(This msg. is a reply to 150597 by SUE32073.)
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The point being that Hawkins et al have chosen to throw a cocktail party for 2 hours in a few selected cities - meetings that will have absolutely no bearing on ANYTHING.

I say management is chickens_hit to address shareholders in the form of a legal shareholders' meeting.

SHAME
By: Zenna
02 May 2004, 07:46 PM EDT
Msg. 150736 of 151037
(This msg. is a reply to 150665 by SUE32073.)
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Sue, you may have heard this before, but in response to the tea leaves/ crystal ball, etc...heres an interesting read..I hope I copy it right..

Jesse Livermore Quote, " I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are being repeated. They are recurring patterns that appear over and over with slight variations. This is because markets are driven by humans and human nature never changes. All through time people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of greed, fear, ignorance and hope. This is why the numerical (technical) formations and patterns recur on a constant basis."

BTW, (took this quote from another RB board) I had my coffee grounds read in Greece some years back...all she told me happened in short order...including meeting people (for the first time)that she described to me, (a very vivid scenario in fact that came to pass) and many things...she was an "in-law" of our family...she was amazing..I'll never forget that...

Regards,

Z

(Voluntary Disclosure: Position- Long)

 

By: BarryAllen
02 May 2004, 09:40 PM EDT
Msg. 150766 of 151038
(This msg. is a reply to 150620 by Ourobouros.)
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Wrong Bernie! Just got back home. Meeting with Hawkins was phenomenal! She chose to have the meeting because she was in town for several other meetings and it was quite convenient. About 20 shareholders attended. No cocktails... just sodas water and cookies.
By: BarryAllen
02 May 2004, 09:49 PM EDT
Msg. 150767 of 151038
(This msg. is a reply to 150742 by 4titudinous.)
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4titude...great meeting! Hawkins is a breath of fresh air! What a fabulous presenter. So focused and clear with her objective! All questions that were submitted were posted in a PowerPoint and answered. Then she opened the floor for any other questions. Most got there at 3:30pm and she mingled with everyone and answered everything thrown her way. She even joined a group of us for a light dinner after the presentation. What a down to earth and humble individual! Shareholders should sleep much better from now on. I would strongly recommend meeting her at the open house in Yonkers or the similar meetings in Boston and NYC.

(Voluntary Disclosure: Position- Long; ST Rating- Strong Buy)

By: Ourobouros
02 May 2004, 09:49 PM EDT
Msg. 150768 of 151039
(This msg. is a reply to 150766 by BarryAllen.)
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All I want, Barry, is for ALL shareholders to have had access to questioning her. That you had to be in Miami to participate disallows that.

I'm glad you were impressed, wish I could have been there - but had she had a conference call, ALL of us that wished to here it could have listened in.

Is she going to post a Web recording of the meeting - or a transcript?

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By: BarryAllen
02 May 2004, 09:55 PM EDT
Msg. 150769 of 151039
(This msg. is a reply to 150768 by Ourobouros.)
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Bernie...better yet she said that she plans to have quarterly conference calls in addition to quarterly updates on the website which is being redesigned! She also said she wants to communicate with shareholders as if this was a NASDAQ company and not bulletin board so to increase credibility in the marketplace!
By: Ourobouros
02 May 2004, 10:00 PM EDT
Msg. 150770 of 151039
(This msg. is a reply to 150769 by BarryAllen.)
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Barry, I trust your judgment and will defer to your evaluation - and keep my trap shut about this.

Good luck!!
By: BarryAllen
02 May 2004, 10:08 PM EDT
Msg. 150774 of 151039
(This msg. is a reply to 150770 by Ourobouros.)
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Bernie, isn't that ASCO meeting in New Orleans in June? Maybe you could attend? Not to far from Birmingham. Hawkins, Epstein, D'Olympio, etc will be there.

Feel free to call me at my office tomorrow and I'll fill you in some more.

(Voluntary Disclosure: Position- Long; ST Rating- Strong Buy)


By: BarryAllen
02 May 2004, 10:15 PM EDT
Msg. 150775 of 151013
(This msg. is a reply to 150773 by firehirshman.)
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Fire...once you meet Hawkins you'd understand. The aura she portrays is so honest and convincing. She is the type of person who is committed and will not rest until the job gets done. Her credentials are impeccable and she has picked her team of excellent people-- Epstein, Taylor, etc. Finally, ADVR has a leader that can take us to the next level. You've got to meet her!

(Voluntary Disclosure: Position- Long; ST Rating- Strong Buy)